Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 104.924398 119.098522 134.687347 153.138021 174.423210 198.258630 227.042795
2026-02-01 84.822691 103.464976 125.656861 154.154336 189.967960 233.731700 291.637876
2026-02-08 71.697986 91.978701 117.507320 152.258688 198.727963 259.277096 345.050938
2026-02-15 63.531145 84.892997 113.030637 153.213108 209.784048 287.572450 404.342286
2026-02-22 57.833542 80.037592 110.453716 155.742083 222.454434 318.676579 470.825862
2026-03-01 51.444032 73.338875 104.346672 152.195720 225.486468 335.679658 518.055913
2026-03-08 46.395391 67.929459 99.356000 149.450863 228.970000 353.188739 567.680040
2026-03-15 42.537721 63.833801 95.789333 148.291150 234.467188 374.032840 624.942255
2026-03-22 40.718228 62.613306 96.388752 153.584723 250.681298 413.789547 719.351468
2026-03-29 38.955411 61.279446 96.617230 158.183033 266.076242 453.732478 819.431116
2026-04-05 36.289316 58.234999 93.771810 157.259161 271.711591 477.061951 891.723859
2026-04-12 34.346753 56.198517 92.376743 158.622897 281.426985 508.661014 984.093509
2026-04-19 31.866307 53.231124 89.451965 157.556407 287.667297 536.622929 1078.135144
2026-04-26 29.967839 51.119209 87.850774 158.805392 298.612388 575.520851 1202.640537
2026-05-03 27.798315 48.322182 84.747094 156.856344 303.002116 601.797062 1304.241109
2026-05-10 26.267401 46.528808 83.277773 157.843181 313.331538 641.636351 1443.519239
2026-05-17 25.093147 45.279383 82.684699 160.456872 327.294927 691.113896 1614.661707
2026-05-24 23.260110 42.633562 79.190027 156.791791 327.346778 709.725977 1713.308728
2026-05-31 21.696962 40.375937 76.248415 153.955250 328.840852 731.771084 1824.800337
2026-06-07 20.453350 38.639739 74.184699 152.756854 333.854161 762.743737 1965.890035
2026-06-14 19.996196 38.421483 75.152484 158.227258 354.957497 835.756275 2237.586686
2026-06-21 19.487484 38.054055 75.773137 162.979706 374.960938 909.085261 2526.251098
2026-06-28 18.486632 36.594797 73.974881 162.024827 380.872310 946.892154 2717.248227